{
 "title": "Fresh-gap calibration (prelock_checks_plan.md, part 1): old starts 1 to 18, untouched only",
 "made": {
  "utc": "2026-10-13T13:33:59+00:00",
  "halifax": "2026-10-13T10:33:59-03:00"
 },
 "verdict": "FAIL",
 "verdict_as_preregistered": "NO READING",
 "meaning": "the fresh gap is not the primary outcome. The carried gap is not put in its place automatically (amendment 2): the alternatives, with their measurement-history biases, go to Colson for review, and any new outcome gets its own check on old starts before any lock.",
 "checks": {
  "V1": false,
  "V1_revised": true,
  "V2": true,
  "C1": false,
  "C2": true,
  "C3": true,
  "C4": false
 },
 "criteria": {
  "aligned_share": 0.9,
  "median_alignment": 100.0,
  "noise_ratio": 0.5,
  "agreement": 0.8,
  "kappa": [
   0.75,
   1.25
  ],
  "kappa_bar": 0.25
 },
 "v1_revised": {
  "met": true,
  "agree": {
   "1": true,
   "2": true,
   "3": true,
   "4": true,
   "5": true,
   "6": true,
   "7": true,
   "8": true,
   "9": true,
   "10": true,
   "11": true,
   "12": true,
   "13": true,
   "14": true,
   "15": true,
   "16": true,
   "17": true,
   "18": true
  },
  "environment_same": true,
  "environment": {
   "cpu": "INTEL(R) XEON(R) PLATINUM 8581C CPU @ 2.30GHz",
   "python": "3.11.14",
   "libc": "glibc 2.40",
   "numpy": "2.4.3",
   "numpy_dispatch": [
    "X86_V3",
    "X86_V4",
    "AVX512_ICL",
    "AVX512_SPR"
   ],
   "blas_threads": "1 per worker",
   "boot_id": "b22c8cb3-ce6e-469e-b3a2-4dff04468b66",
   "container_started": {
    "utc": "2026-10-13T10:40:54+00:00",
    "halifax": "2026-10-13T07:40:54-03:00"
   }
  },
  "boot_ids": [
   "b22c8cb3-ce6e-469e-b3a2-4dff04468b66"
  ],
  "container_since": "2026-10-13T07:40:54-03:00",
  "container_before_first_piece": true,
  "unrecorded_pieces": [
   1,
   2,
   3,
   4
  ],
  "first_saved_difference": {
   "1": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": 236,
    "first_coherence_time": 2151
   },
   "2": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": 412,
    "first_coherence_time": 3396
   },
   "3": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": 335,
    "first_coherence_time": 2258
   },
   "4": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": 459,
    "first_coherence_time": 3479
   },
   "5": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": 487,
    "first_coherence_time": 3150
   },
   "6": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": 524,
    "first_coherence_time": 3047
   },
   "7": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": 63,
    "first_coherence_time": 1834
   },
   "8": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": 124,
    "first_coherence_time": 1527
   },
   "9": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": 287,
    "first_coherence_time": 1845
   },
   "10": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": 203,
    "first_coherence_time": 1615
   },
   "11": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": 352,
    "first_coherence_time": 2812
   },
   "12": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": 396,
    "first_coherence_time": 2694
   },
   "13": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": null,
    "first_coherence_time": null
   },
   "14": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": null,
    "first_coherence_time": null
   },
   "15": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": null,
    "first_coherence_time": null
   },
   "16": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": null,
    "first_coherence_time": null
   },
   "17": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": null,
    "first_coherence_time": null
   },
   "18": {
    "settling": true,
    "first_gap_interval": null,
    "first_coherence_time": null
   }
  },
  "checked": [
   "2026-10-13T08:52:26-03:00",
   "2026-10-13T10:10:45-03:00",
   "2026-10-13T10:15:46-03:00"
  ]
 },
 "seen_before": "Seen before this check was complete (prelock_amendment.md; dryruns/calibration_dryrun.txt): the dry run on old start 1, fresh copies made at t = 200 and 250, outside these moments, gave G = 0.0049, 0.0055 and 0.0071 against W = 0.0028 and 0.0024, and overlaps of 0.098 and 0.255 after 300 units.",
 "numbers": {
  "original_v1": {
   "starts": 6,
   "coherence": 6,
   "gap": 6,
   "settling": 18
  },
  "aligned_share": 0.2257936507936508,
  "median_alignment": null,
  "aligned_by": {
   "25": 0.0,
   "50": 0.0,
   "100": 0.003968253968253968,
   "150": 0.028174603174603175,
   "200": 0.06825396825396825,
   "300": 0.2257936507936508
  },
  "direction_noise": 0.001959293450504168,
  "natural_spread_W": 0.006640525325717159,
  "noise_ratio": 0.2950509717832556,
  "agreement": {
   "r": 0.8729080606986961,
   "error_bar": 0.007310936943360715
  },
  "kappa": {
   "value": 0.5792124101237295,
   "error_bar": 0.024091958407233553
  },
  "b_M": {
   "fresh": {
    "value": -0.45388280067155323,
    "error_bar": 0.04457710980867388
   },
   "carried": {
    "value": -0.7836206419931442,
    "error_bar": 0.05692252824166242
   }
  },
  "offset": {
   "mean": -9.75077362939018e-05,
   "error_bar": 0.0002041512177741701
  },
  "mean_W": 0.013778183813261817,
  "mean_G": 0.013680676076967914,
  "median_overlap": {
   "5": 0.014161855845663311,
   "10": 0.027999954549804723,
   "25": 0.08629998429450336,
   "50": 0.19831476885655824,
   "100": 0.3517776264431895,
   "150": 0.4559826023416086,
   "200": 0.5382690468112756,
   "300": 0.6664378741708584
  },
  "log_difference": {
   "5": -0.050425103227364515,
   "10": -0.03142692372019904,
   "25": -0.009513531245458168,
   "50": 0.009076915954698572,
   "100": 0.004590555916639387,
   "150": 0.002675073065548331,
   "200": -0.001348059475991308,
   "300": -0.0003536402431353489
  },
  "log_difference_sums": {
   "first": -0.03584484162758991,
   "rest": 0.0065925207394193705
  },
  "parts": {
   "first": {
    "offset": {
     "mean": -0.0003584484162758996,
     "error_bar": 0.00033322438622757896
    },
    "r": 0.41777705876347415
   },
   "rest": {
    "offset": {
     "mean": 3.296260369709701e-05,
     "error_bar": 0.00015826352728927603
    },
    "r": 0.9137503521349477
   }
  },
  "blocks": {
   "old 1-6": {
    "kappa": 0.5985099367871943,
    "r": 0.8751644210926228,
    "aligned": 0.24047619047619048,
    "median_alignment": null
   },
   "old 7-12": {
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    "r": 0.8824526336284247,
    "aligned": 0.1880952380952381,
    "median_alignment": null
   },
   "old 13-18": {
    "kappa": 0.6465629334005903,
    "r": 0.8615400845333778,
    "aligned": 0.2488095238095238,
    "median_alignment": null
   }
  },
  "seconds": {
   "total": 12524.943054199219,
   "per_start": 695.8301696777344
  },
  "pieces_per_start": [
   4,
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   5,
   5,
   5,
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   5,
   4,
   4,
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  ]
 },
 "sizes": {
  "starts": 18,
  "moments": 70,
  "directions": 2,
  "intervals": 60
 },
 "unchanged": {
  "lock": true,
  "folders": true,
  "changed": []
 }
}